PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
1win#38 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust21win pick
62%53%
1win · 25 mapsedge 1win +9%Nemiga · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
62%45%
1win · 17 mapsedge 1win +17%Nemiga · 16 maps
AnubisNemiga pick
35%71%
1win · 13 mapsedge Nemiga +36%Nemiga · 10 maps
Mirage1win ban
59%67%
1win · 13 mapsedge Nemiga +8%Nemiga · 8 maps
CacheNemiga ban
57%50%
1win · 10 mapsedge 1win +7%Nemiga · 4 maps
Nuke1win ban
50%54%
1win · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Nemiga · 9 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
67%60%
1win · 5 mapsedge 1win +7%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban1win remove Nuke
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. Pick1win take Dust2
4. PickNemiga take Anubis
5. BanNemiga remove Cache
6. Ban1win remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (62% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
1win 16%Nemiga 84%
The model gave 84% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction missed7:13
1win 62%Nemiga 38%
The model gave 62% on 1win — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favorite1win · 63%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2