XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
3DMAX#20 in the world · loss 9:13series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 9:13
9z#17 in the world · win 13:9The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust29z ban
60%56%
3DMAX · 1 mapnearly even +4%9z · 12 maps
Inferno3DMAX ban
29%58%
3DMAX · 3 mapsedge 9z +29%9z · 8 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%69%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge 9z +19%9z · 9 maps
Mirage3DMAX ban
50%33%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge 3DMAX +17%9z · 8 maps
Ancient3DMAX ban
40%50%
3DMAX · 1 mapedge 9z +10%9z · 6 maps
Nuke9z ban
50%55%
3DMAX · 0 mapsedge 9z +5%9z · 7 maps
Anubis9z ban
43%40%
3DMAX · 3 mapsnearly even +3%9z · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban3DMAX remove Mirage
2. Ban9z remove Anubis
3. Ban3DMAX remove Ancient
4. Ban9z remove Nuke
5. Ban3DMAX remove Inferno
6. Ban9z remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (50% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
3DMAX 54%9z 46%
The model gave 54% on 3DMAX — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 76%
Series result9z 9:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1