Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#35 in the world · win 2:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
FlyQuest#67 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFlyQuest ban
50%40%
5star · 2 mapsedge 5star +10%FlyQuest · 1 map
Anubis5star pick
50%60%
5star · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%FlyQuest · 1 map
Dust25star ban
50%60%
5star · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%FlyQuest · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
67%50%
5star · 2 mapsedge 5star +17%FlyQuest · 0 maps
NukeFlyQuest pick
60%60%
5star · 1 mapnearly even +0%FlyQuest · 1 map
Mirage5star ban
50%40%
5star · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%FlyQuest · 1 map
OverpassFlyQuest ban
40%50%
5star · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +10%FlyQuest · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Mirage
2. BanFlyQuest remove Overpass
3. Pick5star take Anubis
4. PickFlyQuest take Nuke
5. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
6. Ban5star remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
5star 37%FlyQuest 63%
The model gave 63% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
5star 63%FlyQuest 37%
The model gave 63% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
5star 67%FlyQuest 33%
The model gave 67% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 62%
Series result5star 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3