GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#35 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Kaleido#154 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient5star ban
29%40%
5star · 3 mapsedge Kaleido +11%Kaleido · 1 map
Cache5star pick
57%50%
5star · 3 mapsedge 5star +7%Kaleido · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
33%40%
5star · 2 mapsedge Kaleido +7%Kaleido · 1 map
MirageKaleido pick
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%Kaleido · 2 maps
Dust25star ban
50%50%
5star · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Kaleido · 2 maps
NukeKaleido ban
50%50%
5star · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Kaleido · 0 maps
AnubisKaleido ban
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%Kaleido · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanKaleido remove Nuke
3. Pick5star take Cache
4. PickKaleido take Mirage
5. BanKaleido remove Anubis
6. Ban5star remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (33% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct7:13
5star 35%Kaleido 65%
The model gave 65% on Kaleido — the map was taken by Kaleido.
Cacheprediction correct13:4
5star 60%Kaleido 40%
The model gave 60% on 5star — the map was taken by 5star.
Infernoprediction missed13:9
5star 43%Kaleido 57%
The model gave 57% on Kaleido — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favorite5star · 55%
Series result5star 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3