GGMEDIA Challenger Series 1: BLAST Premier Rising Event · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#35 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Lynn Vision pick
43%60%
5star · 3 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 11 maps
AncientLynn Vision ban
50%42%
5star · 4 mapsedge 5star +8%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
Inferno5star pick
75%40%
5star · 4 mapsedge 5star +35%Lynn Vision · 6 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
50%43%
5star · 4 mapsedge 5star +7%Lynn Vision · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
67%63%
5star · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Lynn Vision · 4 maps
Overpass5star ban
33%67%
5star · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +34%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
Mirage5star ban
60%50%
5star · 1 mapedge 5star +10%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Mirage
2. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
3. Pick5star take Inferno
4. PickLynn Vision take Dust2
5. BanLynn Vision remove Ancient
6. Ban5star remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (67% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed2:13
5star 84%Lynn Vision 16%
The model gave 84% on 5star — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
5star 55%Lynn Vision 45%
The model gave 55% on 5star — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Model check result
Model favoriteLynn Vision · 71%
Series resultLynn Vision 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2