PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 East Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
5star#127 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
NEXVOID#121 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
50%61%
5star · 10 mapsedge NEXVOID +11%NEXVOID · 14 maps
AncientNEXVOID pick
27%81%
5star · 11 mapsedge NEXVOID +54%NEXVOID · 12 maps
Nuke5star pick
60%33%
5star · 11 mapsedge 5star +27%NEXVOID · 5 maps
CacheNEXVOID ban
55%33%
5star · 7 mapsedge 5star +22%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Dust25star ban
50%36%
5star · 0 mapsedge 5star +14%NEXVOID · 7 maps
Anubis5star ban
71%50%
5star · 3 mapsedge 5star +21%NEXVOID · 2 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
67%50%
5star · 5 mapsedge 5star +17%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban5star remove Dust2
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. Pick5star take Nuke
4. PickNEXVOID take Ancient
5. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
6. Ban5star remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (50% / 61%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
5star 7%NEXVOID 93%
The model gave 93% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Nukeprediction missed9:13
5star 77%NEXVOID 23%
The model gave 77% on 5star — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 51%
Series resultNEXVOID 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2