NODWIN Clutch Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
6666#80 in the world · win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubispossible decider
64%47%
6666 · 10 mapsedge 6666 +17%benched gods · 15 maps
Ancient6666 pick
58%45%
6666 · 8 mapsedge 6666 +13%benched gods · 16 maps
Miragebenched gods ban
67%30%
6666 · 5 mapsedge 6666 +37%benched gods · 16 maps
Cache6666 ban
50%59%
6666 · 0 mapsedge benched gods +9%benched gods · 18 maps
Dust2benched gods ban
56%43%
6666 · 5 mapsedge 6666 +13%benched gods · 10 maps
Inferno6666 ban
15%50%
6666 · 9 mapsedge benched gods +35%benched gods · 4 maps
Defaultbenched gods pick
50%88%
6666 · 0 mapsedge benched gods +38%benched gods · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6666 remove Cache
2. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
3. Pick6666 take Ancient
4. Pickbenched gods take Default
5. Banbenched gods remove Dust2
6. Ban6666 remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (64% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed3:13
6666 64%benched gods 36%
The model gave 64% on 6666 — the map was taken by benched gods.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
6666 65%benched gods 35%
The model gave 65% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
6666 63%benched gods 37%
The model gave 63% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 62%
Series result6666 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3