CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
6666#80 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient6666 pick
62%61%
6666 · 9 mapsnearly even +1%megoshort · 14 maps
Miragemegoshort pick
67%45%
6666 · 5 mapsedge 6666 +22%megoshort · 16 maps
Inferno6666 ban
15%31%
6666 · 9 mapsedge megoshort +16%megoshort · 9 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
60%44%
6666 · 11 mapsedge 6666 +16%megoshort · 5 maps
Dust2megoshort ban
60%50%
6666 · 6 mapsedge 6666 +10%megoshort · 10 maps
Cache6666 ban
50%58%
6666 · 0 mapsedge megoshort +8%megoshort · 8 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%55%
6666 · 0 mapsedge megoshort +5%megoshort · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6666 remove Cache
2. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
3. Pick6666 take Ancient
4. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
5. Banmegoshort remove Dust2
6. Ban6666 remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
6666 68%megoshort 32%
The model gave 68% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Anubisprediction correct16:13
6666 68%megoshort 32%
The model gave 68% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 68%
Series result6666 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2