CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
6yuBoJlbl#168 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:2
HYPERSPIRIT#113 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheHYPERSPIRIT pick
60%59%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapnearly even +1%HYPERSPIRIT · 13 maps
Dust2HYPERSPIRIT ban
63%42%
6yuBoJlbl · 4 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +21%HYPERSPIRIT · 8 maps
Inferno6yuBoJlbl ban
33%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT ban
60%29%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapedge 6yuBoJlbl +31%HYPERSPIRIT · 10 maps
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
67%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +17%HYPERSPIRIT · 8 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
50%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 6 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%60%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapedge HYPERSPIRIT +20%HYPERSPIRIT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Dust2
3. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Cache
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Ancient
6. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
6yuBoJlbl 69%HYPERSPIRIT 31%
The model gave 69% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Cacheprediction correct8:13
6yuBoJlbl 48%HYPERSPIRIT 52%
The model gave 52% on HYPERSPIRIT — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
6yuBoJlbl 79%HYPERSPIRIT 21%
The model gave 79% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favorite6yuBoJlbl · 64%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3