CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
6yuBoJlbl#168 in the world · win 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
mellren#91 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
80%63%
6yuBoJlbl · 6 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +17%mellren · 36 maps
Ancientmellren pick
43%72%
6yuBoJlbl · 3 mapsedge mellren +29%mellren · 25 maps
Inferno6yuBoJlbl ban
29%56%
6yuBoJlbl · 3 mapsedge mellren +27%mellren · 21 map
Dust2mellren ban
60%57%
6yuBoJlbl · 6 mapsnearly even +3%mellren · 17 maps
Nukemellren ban
33%19%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +14%mellren · 17 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
50%64%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge mellren +14%mellren · 10 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%55%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapedge mellren +15%mellren · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
2. Banmellren remove Nuke
3. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
4. Pickmellren take Ancient
5. Banmellren remove Dust2
6. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
6yuBoJlbl 20%mellren 80%
The model gave 80% on mellren — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
6yuBoJlbl 73%mellren 27%
The model gave 73% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Model check result
Model favoritemellren · 64%
Series result6yuBoJlbl 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2