CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
6yuBoJlbl#168 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
67%64%
6yuBoJlbl · 5 mapsnearly even +3%Saint Sinners · 18 maps
Mirage6yuBoJlbl pick
78%53%
6yuBoJlbl · 5 mapsedge 6yuBoJlbl +25%Saint Sinners · 13 maps
Ancient6yuBoJlbl ban
43%50%
6yuBoJlbl · 3 mapsedge Saint Sinners +7%Saint Sinners · 12 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%53%
6yuBoJlbl · 1 mapedge Saint Sinners +13%Saint Sinners · 11 maps
NukeSaint Sinners ban
33%31%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsnearly even +2%Saint Sinners · 9 maps
InfernoSaint Sinners ban
33%38%
6yuBoJlbl · 2 mapsedge Saint Sinners +5%Saint Sinners · 4 maps
Anubis6yuBoJlbl ban
50%56%
6yuBoJlbl · 0 mapsedge Saint Sinners +6%Saint Sinners · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Anubis
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
3. Pick6yuBoJlbl take Mirage
4. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Inferno
6. Ban6yuBoJlbl remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (40% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
6yuBoJlbl 78%Saint Sinners 22%
The model gave 78% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by 6yuBoJlbl.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
6yuBoJlbl 50%Saint Sinners 50%
The model gave 50% on 6yuBoJlbl — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
6yuBoJlbl 45%Saint Sinners 55%
The model gave 55% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 58%
Series resultSaint Sinners 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3