CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
9INE#105 in the world · win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Black Phoenix#58 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Black Phoenix pick
38%68%
9INE · 4 mapsedge Black Phoenix +30%Black Phoenix · 69 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
55%54%
9INE · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Black Phoenix · 31 map
Nuke9INE ban
46%50%
9INE · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Black Phoenix · 28 maps
AnubisBlack Phoenix ban
40%44%
9INE · 6 mapsnearly even -4%Black Phoenix · 28 maps
Cache9INE pick
58%50%
9INE · 8 mapsedge 9INE +8%Black Phoenix · 26 maps
Inferno9INE ban
60%63%
9INE · 1 mapnearly even -3%Black Phoenix · 20 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
9INE · 1 mapedge Black Phoenix +10%Black Phoenix · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9INE remove Inferno
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Anubis
3. Pick9INE take Cache
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Dust2
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. Ban9INE remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
9INE 20%Black Phoenix 80%
The model gave 80% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Nukeprediction missed13:7
9INE 49%Black Phoenix 51%
The model gave 51% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by 9INE.
Cacheprediction correct22:20
9INE 58%Black Phoenix 42%
The model gave 58% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlack Phoenix · 63%
Series result9INE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3