Digital Crusade Super DraculaN Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
9INE#80 in the world · win 2:0series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegion#19 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoGamerLegion pick
50%57%
9INE · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 10 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%58%
9INE · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +8%GamerLegion · 8 maps
Mirage9INE ban
50%43%
9INE · 0 mapsedge 9INE +7%GamerLegion · 10 maps
Nuke9INE ban
60%55%
9INE · 1 mapedge 9INE +5%GamerLegion · 7 maps
Overpass9INE pick
50%50%
9INE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GamerLegion · 4 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
29%50%
9INE · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +21%GamerLegion · 0 maps
AnubisGamerLegion ban
40%50%
9INE · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +10%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9INE remove Mirage
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. Pick9INE take Overpass
4. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
5. BanGamerLegion remove Anubis
6. Ban9INE remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (50% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
9INE 58%GamerLegion 42%
The model gave 58% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
9INE 39%GamerLegion 61%
The model gave 61% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 76%
Series result9INE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2