XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
9z#17 in the world · win 2:1series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Alliance#22 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAlliance pick
57%82%
9z · 10 mapsedge Alliance +25%Alliance · 13 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%55%
9z · 14 mapsnearly even +1%Alliance · 7 maps
NukeAlliance ban
62%53%
9z · 9 mapsedge 9z +9%Alliance · 11 maps
Ancient9z ban
50%64%
9z · 6 mapsedge Alliance +14%Alliance · 10 maps
Overpass9z pick
69%29%
9z · 9 mapsedge 9z +40%Alliance · 3 maps
MirageAlliance ban
36%50%
9z · 10 mapsedge Alliance +14%Alliance · 0 maps
Anubis9z ban
40%36%
9z · 1 mapnearly even +4%Alliance · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Ban9z remove Anubis
2. BanAlliance remove Mirage
3. Pick9z take Overpass
4. PickAlliance take Inferno
5. BanAlliance remove Nuke
6. Ban9z remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (56% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
9z 61%Alliance 39%
The model gave 61% on 9z — the map was taken by 9z.
Infernoprediction correct17:19
9z 20%Alliance 80%
The model gave 80% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
9z 36%Alliance 64%
The model gave 64% on Alliance — the map was taken by 9z.
Model check result
Model favorite9z · 61%
Series result9z 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3