CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2aAa pick
29%55%
aAa · 10 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +26%ex-Zero Tenacity · 18 maps
Nukeex-Zero Tenacity pick
30%55%
aAa · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +25%ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 maps
InfernoaAa ban
33%42%
aAa · 5 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 maps
MirageaAa ban
50%46%
aAa · 0 mapsnearly even +4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%36%
aAa · 1 mapedge aAa +24%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
33%30%
aAa · 2 mapsnearly even +3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
20%50%
aAa · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +30%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanaAa remove Mirage
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickaAa take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Nuke
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
6. BanaAa remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (60% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct3:13
aAa 44%ex-Zero Tenacity 56%
The model gave 56% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
aAa 24%ex-Zero Tenacity 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 52%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2