CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
aAa#132 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2GenOne pick
29%67%
aAa · 10 mapsedge GenOne +38%GenOne · 26 maps
NukeaAa ban
27%57%
aAa · 7 mapsedge GenOne +30%GenOne · 19 maps
AncientaAa ban
20%45%
aAa · 6 mapsedge GenOne +25%GenOne · 16 maps
Infernopossible decider
27%58%
aAa · 7 mapsedge GenOne +31%GenOne · 8 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
29%38%
aAa · 3 mapsedge GenOne +9%GenOne · 9 maps
AnubisGenOne ban
60%64%
aAa · 1 mapnearly even -4%GenOne · 7 maps
DefaultaAa pick
50%33%
aAa · 0 mapsedge aAa +17%GenOne · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanaAa remove Ancient
2. BanGenOne remove Overpass
3. PickaAa take Default
4. PickGenOne take Dust2
5. BanGenOne remove Anubis
6. BanaAa remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (27% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
aAa 25%GenOne 75%
The model gave 75% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
aAa 15%GenOne 85%
The model gave 85% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 82%
Series resultGenOne 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2