Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ABT#124 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
14%86%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9INE#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nuke9INE pick
40%64%
ABT · 1 mapedge 9INE +24%9INE · 7 maps
Ancientpossible decider
60%44%
ABT · 1 mapedge ABT +16%9INE · 5 maps
AnubisABT pick
50%50%
ABT · 2 mapsnearly even +0%9INE · 2 maps
Dust2ABT ban
50%43%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +7%9INE · 3 maps
CacheABT ban
50%33%
ABT · 0 mapsedge ABT +17%9INE · 2 maps
Inferno9INE ban
60%60%
ABT · 1 mapnearly even +0%9INE · 1 map
Mirage9INE ban
50%50%
ABT · 0 mapsnearly even +0%9INE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanABT remove Cache
2. Ban9INE remove Inferno
3. PickABT take Anubis
4. Pick9INE take Nuke
5. Ban9INE remove Mirage
6. BanABT remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
ABT 68%9INE 32%
The model gave 68% on ABT — the map was taken by 9INE.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
ABT 25%9INE 75%
The model gave 75% on 9INE — the map was taken by 9INE.
Model check result
Model favorite9INE · 86%
Series result9INE 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2