FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
ABT#124 in the world · win 13:10series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 13:10
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisNext Up ban
50%50%
ABT · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Next Up · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
ABT · 2 mapsedge ABT +17%Next Up · 2 maps
AncientNext Up ban
50%50%
ABT · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Next Up · 0 maps
NukeABT ban
33%50%
ABT · 2 mapsedge Next Up +17%Next Up · 0 maps
Dust2ABT ban
50%60%
ABT · 0 mapsedge Next Up +10%Next Up · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanABT remove Dust2
2. BanNext Up remove Anubis
3. BanABT remove Nuke
4. BanNext Up remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
ABT 50%Next Up 50%
The model gave 50% on ABT — the map was taken by ABT.
Model check result
Model favoriteABT · 69%
Series resultABT 13:10
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1