CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Acend#123 in the world · win 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
41%68%
Acend · 13 mapsedge Saint Sinners +27%Saint Sinners · 21 map
MirageAcend ban
45%47%
Acend · 7 mapsnearly even -2%Saint Sinners · 15 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
67%47%
Acend · 8 mapsedge Acend +20%Saint Sinners · 13 maps
InfernoAcend pick
63%44%
Acend · 15 mapsedge Acend +19%Saint Sinners · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%53%
Acend · 2 mapsnearly even -3%Saint Sinners · 11 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
29%40%
Acend · 10 mapsedge Saint Sinners +11%Saint Sinners · 1 map
AnubisAcend ban
38%60%
Acend · 4 mapsedge Saint Sinners +22%Saint Sinners · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAcend remove Anubis
2. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
3. PickAcend take Inferno
4. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
5. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
6. BanAcend remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Acend 71%Saint Sinners 29%
The model gave 71% on Acend — the map was taken by Acend.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Acend 23%Saint Sinners 77%
The model gave 77% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Acend.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 52%
Series resultAcend 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2