FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
aimclub#98 in the world · loss 3:13series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 3:13
Falcons Force#152 in the world · win 13:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force ban
58%46%
aimclub · 8 mapsedge aimclub +12%Falcons Force · 9 maps
InfernoFalcons Force ban
75%57%
aimclub · 4 mapsedge aimclub +18%Falcons Force · 10 maps
Cacheaimclub ban
57%69%
aimclub · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +12%Falcons Force · 9 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%67%
aimclub · 6 mapsedge Falcons Force +7%Falcons Force · 5 maps
Ancientaimclub ban
30%57%
aimclub · 6 mapsedge Falcons Force +27%Falcons Force · 3 maps
Nukeaimclub ban
50%31%
aimclub · 0 mapsedge aimclub +19%Falcons Force · 9 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
33%33%
aimclub · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Falcons Force · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banaimclub remove Nuke
2. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
3. Banaimclub remove Ancient
4. BanFalcons Force remove Mirage
5. Banaimclub remove Cache
6. BanFalcons Force remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed3:13
aimclub 69%Falcons Force 31%
The model gave 69% on aimclub — the map was taken by Falcons Force.
Model check result
Model favoriteaimclub · 61%
Series resultFalcons Force 3:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1