ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Alter Ego#117 in the worldseries probability
66%34%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Nas#209 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNas pick
63%50%
Alter Ego · 4 mapsedge Alter Ego +13%Nas · 4 maps
Dust2Alter Ego pick
67%50%
Alter Ego · 5 mapsedge Alter Ego +17%Nas · 2 maps
NukeAlter Ego ban
50%43%
Alter Ego · 2 mapsedge Alter Ego +7%Nas · 3 maps
InfernoNas ban
57%50%
Alter Ego · 3 mapsedge Alter Ego +7%Nas · 0 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%60%
Alter Ego · 2 mapsedge Nas +10%Nas · 1 map
AnubisNas ban
40%50%
Alter Ego · 1 mapedge Nas +10%Nas · 0 maps
CacheAlter Ego ban
60%50%
Alter Ego · 1 mapedge Alter Ego +10%Nas · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAlter Ego remove Cache
2. BanNas remove Inferno
3. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
4. PickNas take Ancient
5. BanNas remove Anubis
6. BanAlter Ego remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (50% / 60%)