ESL Challenger League Season 51 Asia-Pacific Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Alter Ego#94 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The QUBE#163 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Alter Ego 53%The QUBE 47%
The model gave 53% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Alter Ego.
Mirageprediction missed16:14
Alter Ego 47%The QUBE 53%
The model gave 53% on The QUBE — the map was taken by Alter Ego.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlter Ego · 58%
Series resultAlter Ego 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2