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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
antidaun#283 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Phantom Academy#174 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirageantidaun ban
50%67%
antidaun · 2 mapsedge Phantom Academy +17%Phantom Academy · 14 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
antidaun · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
NukePhantom Academy pick
50%50%
antidaun · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 10 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
50%33%
antidaun · 0 mapsedge antidaun +17%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
Dust2antidaun ban
40%42%
antidaun · 1 mapnearly even -2%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
Defaultantidaun pick
60%40%
antidaun · 1 mapedge antidaun +20%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
33%33%
antidaun · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banantidaun remove Mirage
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. Pickantidaun take Default
4. PickPhantom Academy take Nuke
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
6. Banantidaun remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
antidaun 45%Phantom Academy 55%
The model gave 55% on Phantom Academy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Anubisprediction missed3:13
antidaun 53%Phantom Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on antidaun — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 60%
Series resultPhantom Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2