PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Voca#92 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientantivalue pick
60%67%
antivalue · 1 mapedge Voca +7%Voca · 8 maps
Dust2Voca pick
60%83%
antivalue · 1 mapedge Voca +23%Voca · 8 maps
Cacheantivalue ban
50%40%
antivalue · 0 mapsedge antivalue +10%Voca · 6 maps
Nukeantivalue ban
33%38%
antivalue · 2 mapsedge Voca +5%Voca · 4 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%75%
antivalue · 1 mapedge Voca +35%Voca · 4 maps
AnubisVoca ban
40%50%
antivalue · 1 mapedge Voca +10%Voca · 2 maps
InfernoVoca ban
67%50%
antivalue · 2 mapsedge antivalue +17%Voca · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banantivalue remove Cache
2. BanVoca remove Inferno
3. Pickantivalue take Ancient
4. PickVoca take Dust2
5. BanVoca remove Anubis
6. Banantivalue remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (40% / 75%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct9:13
antivalue 43%Voca 57%
The model gave 57% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
antivalue 40%Voca 60%
The model gave 60% on Voca — the map was taken by Voca.
Model check result
Model favoriteVoca · 72%
Series resultVoca 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2