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CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ASTRAL#97 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientASTRAL pick
55%60%
ASTRAL · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +5%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
Dust2CYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
57%43%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +14%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 3 maps
InfernoASTRAL ban
25%67%
ASTRAL · 4 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +42%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%40%
ASTRAL · 5 mapsedge ASTRAL +27%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
57%43%
ASTRAL · 3 mapsedge ASTRAL +14%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 3 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%50%
ASTRAL · 0 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 2 maps
DefaultASTRAL ban
50%60%
ASTRAL · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanASTRAL remove Inferno
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
3. PickASTRAL take Ancient
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Dust2
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Anubis
6. BanASTRAL remove Default
DeciderMirage (67% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed12:16
ASTRAL 67%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 33%
The model gave 67% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Infernoprediction missed13:8
ASTRAL 13%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 87%
The model gave 87% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by ASTRAL.
Mirageprediction missed7:13
ASTRAL 75%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 25%
The model gave 75% on ASTRAL — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteASTRAL · 57%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3