Stake Pulse Beat II · BO3
pre-match prediction
Astralis#12 in the worldseries probability
57%43%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Sangal#108 in the worldBefore the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSangal ban
60%40%
Astralis · 11 mapsedge Astralis +20%Sangal · 1 map
CacheSangal pick
56%67%
Astralis · 5 mapsedge Sangal +11%Sangal · 2 maps
Dust2Sangal ban
22%33%
Astralis · 5 mapsedge Sangal +11%Sangal · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
44%50%
Astralis · 5 mapsedge Sangal +6%Sangal · 2 maps
InfernoAstralis pick
50%50%
Astralis · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Sangal · 0 maps
MirageAstralis ban
43%43%
Astralis · 3 mapsnearly even +0%Sangal · 3 maps
AnubisAstralis ban
40%57%
Astralis · 1 mapedge Sangal +17%Sangal · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAstralis remove Anubis
2. BanSangal remove Ancient
3. PickAstralis take Inferno
4. PickSangal take Cache
5. BanSangal remove Dust2
6. BanAstralis remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (44% / 50%)