Stake Pulse Beat I · BO3
result vs prediction
atputiesloss 0:1series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The Last Resort#159 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukeatputies ban
43%50%
atputies · 3 mapsedge The Last Resort +7%The Last Resort · 14 maps
AncientThe Last Resort pick
40%53%
atputies · 1 mapedge The Last Resort +13%The Last Resort · 11 maps
MirageThe Last Resort ban
29%25%
atputies · 3 mapsnearly even +4%The Last Resort · 4 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%64%
atputies · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +14%The Last Resort · 7 maps
Cacheatputies ban
50%56%
atputies · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +6%The Last Resort · 5 maps
Dust2atputies pick
50%56%
atputies · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +6%The Last Resort · 5 maps
InfernoThe Last Resort ban
50%67%
atputies · 0 mapsedge The Last Resort +17%The Last Resort · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banatputies remove Cache
2. BanThe Last Resort remove Mirage
3. Pickatputies take Dust2
4. PickThe Last Resort take Ancient
5. BanThe Last Resort remove Inferno
6. Banatputies remove Nuke
DeciderOverpass (50% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
atputies 50%The Last Resort 50%
The model gave 50% on atputies — the map was taken by The Last Resort.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Last Resort · 74%
Series resultThe Last Resort 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1