CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
67%40%
Atreides · 17 mapsedge Atreides +27%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
59%40%
Atreides · 13 mapsedge Atreides +19%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Ancientex-Sashi Academy ban
53%33%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge Atreides +20%ex-Sashi Academy · 2 maps
DefaultAtreides ban
36%40%
Atreides · 10 mapsnearly even -4%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Nukeex-Sashi Academy pick
46%60%
Atreides · 9 mapsedge ex-Sashi Academy +14%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
AnubisAtreides ban
45%60%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge ex-Sashi Academy +15%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Cacheex-Sashi Academy ban
40%40%
Atreides · 6 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Sashi Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Anubis
2. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Cache
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. Pickex-Sashi Academy take Nuke
5. Banex-Sashi Academy remove Ancient
6. BanAtreides remove Default
DeciderInferno (59% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Atreides 42%ex-Sashi Academy 58%
The model gave 58% on ex-Sashi Academy — the map was taken by ex-Sashi Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 62%
Series resultex-Sashi Academy 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1