CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:1
HYPERSPIRIT#147 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
80%45%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge Atreides +35%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
33%46%
Atreides · 5 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +13%HYPERSPIRIT · 9 maps
OverpassHYPERSPIRIT ban
43%33%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge Atreides +10%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
AncientHYPERSPIRIT pick
58%67%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge HYPERSPIRIT +9%HYPERSPIRIT · 2 maps
AnubisAtreides ban
50%36%
Atreides · 0 mapsedge Atreides +14%HYPERSPIRIT · 7 maps
NukeHYPERSPIRIT ban
63%29%
Atreides · 4 mapsedge Atreides +34%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%57%
Atreides · 3 mapsnearly even +0%HYPERSPIRIT · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Anubis
2. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Nuke
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickHYPERSPIRIT take Ancient
5. BanHYPERSPIRIT remove Overpass
6. BanAtreides remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (57% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Atreides 50%HYPERSPIRIT 50%
The model gave 50% on Atreides — the map was taken by HYPERSPIRIT.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 58%
Series resultHYPERSPIRIT 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1