CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
75%42%
Atreides · 20 mapsedge Atreides +33%Mai Tai · 8 maps
AncientMai Tai ban
56%38%
Atreides · 12 mapsedge Atreides +18%Mai Tai · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
55%45%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge Atreides +10%Mai Tai · 7 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
59%50%
Atreides · 13 mapsedge Atreides +9%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
33%50%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Mai Tai +17%Mai Tai · 2 maps
OverpassMai Tai pick
43%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 0 maps
NukeAtreides ban
55%60%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge Mai Tai +5%Mai Tai · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickMai Tai take Overpass
5. BanMai Tai remove Ancient
6. BanAtreides remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (55% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:8
Atreides 47%Mai Tai 53%
The model gave 53% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Atreides.
Cacheprediction missed7:13
Atreides 53%Mai Tai 47%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Atreides 81%Mai Tai 19%
The model gave 81% on Atreides — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 55%
Series resultMai Tai 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3