CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAtreides pick
72%58%
Atreides · 21 mapedge Atreides +14%Rune Eaters · 22 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
33%56%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Rune Eaters +23%Rune Eaters · 23 maps
AncientRune Eaters pick
56%57%
Atreides · 12 mapsnearly even -1%Rune Eaters · 17 maps
InfernoAtreides ban
61%50%
Atreides · 14 mapsedge Atreides +11%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
50%44%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Atreides +6%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Atreides · 8 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
43%33%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge Atreides +10%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. PickAtreides take Mirage
4. PickRune Eaters take Ancient
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanAtreides remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
Atreides 46%Rune Eaters 54%
The model gave 54% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Anubisprediction missed9:13
Atreides 53%Rune Eaters 47%
The model gave 53% on Atreides — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 53%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2