CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Atreides#147 in the world · win 1:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoAtreides pick
64%50%
Atreides · 7 mapsedge Atreides +14%Subtop De France · 4 maps
MirageSubtop De France ban
80%50%
Atreides · 11 mapsedge Atreides +30%Subtop De France · 0 maps
AncientSubtop De France ban
58%33%
Atreides · 8 mapsedge Atreides +25%Subtop De France · 2 maps
Dust2Atreides ban
40%38%
Atreides · 6 mapsnearly even +2%Subtop De France · 4 maps
OverpassAtreides ban
43%50%
Atreides · 10 mapsedge Subtop De France +7%Subtop De France · 0 maps
DefaultSubtop De France pick
50%60%
Atreides · 6 mapsedge Subtop De France +10%Subtop De France · 1 map
Nukepossible decider
56%50%
Atreides · 5 mapsedge Atreides +6%Subtop De France · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAtreides remove Dust2
2. BanSubtop De France remove Mirage
3. PickAtreides take Inferno
4. PickSubtop De France take Default
5. BanSubtop De France remove Ancient
6. BanAtreides remove Overpass
DeciderNuke (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Atreides 40%Subtop De France 60%
The model gave 60% on Subtop De France — the map was taken by Atreides.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtreides · 66%
Series resultAtreides 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1