NODWIN Clutch Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Azuolas#191 in the world · win 2:1series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAzuolas pick
35%55%
Azuolas · 13 mapsedge Enjoy +20%Enjoy · 18 maps
Ancientpossible decider
42%46%
Azuolas · 8 mapsnearly even -4%Enjoy · 9 maps
Dust2Azuolas ban
29%39%
Azuolas · 3 mapsedge Enjoy +10%Enjoy · 14 maps
CacheEnjoy pick
60%56%
Azuolas · 1 mapnearly even +4%Enjoy · 14 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
44%29%
Azuolas · 12 mapsedge Azuolas +15%Enjoy · 3 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
33%25%
Azuolas · 5 mapsedge Azuolas +8%Enjoy · 8 maps
AnubisAzuolas ban
38%43%
Azuolas · 4 mapsedge Enjoy +5%Enjoy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAzuolas remove Anubis
2. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
3. PickAzuolas take Mirage
4. PickEnjoy take Cache
5. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
6. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (42% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:13
Azuolas 29%Enjoy 71%
The model gave 71% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Azuolas.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
Azuolas 48%Enjoy 52%
The model gave 52% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Anubisprediction missed13:9
Azuolas 44%Enjoy 56%
The model gave 56% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Azuolas.
Model check result
Model favoriteEnjoy · 62%
Series resultAzuolas 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3