CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Azuolas#184 in the world · win 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Illyrians#126 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageAzuolas pick
37%54%
Azuolas · 15 mapsedge Illyrians +17%Illyrians · 24 maps
Ancientpossible decider
33%47%
Azuolas · 11 mapsedge Illyrians +14%Illyrians · 15 maps
Dust2Azuolas ban
29%42%
Azuolas · 3 mapsedge Illyrians +13%Illyrians · 22 maps
CacheAzuolas ban
50%71%
Azuolas · 2 mapsedge Illyrians +21%Illyrians · 13 maps
NukeIllyrians ban
39%40%
Azuolas · 14 mapsnearly even -1%Illyrians · 1 map
AnubisIllyrians pick
40%73%
Azuolas · 6 mapsedge Illyrians +33%Illyrians · 7 maps
InfernoIllyrians ban
40%50%
Azuolas · 6 mapsedge Illyrians +10%Illyrians · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanAzuolas remove Dust2
2. BanIllyrians remove Nuke
3. PickAzuolas take Mirage
4. PickIllyrians take Anubis
5. BanIllyrians remove Inferno
6. BanAzuolas remove Cache
DeciderAncient (33% / 47%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct17:19
Azuolas 27%Illyrians 73%
The model gave 73% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Azuolas 36%Illyrians 64%
The model gave 64% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Azuolas.
Ancientprediction missed13:5
Azuolas 36%Illyrians 64%
The model gave 64% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Azuolas.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 59%
Series resultAzuolas 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3