UESF Championship of Ukraine 2026 Stage 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Academy#229 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:2
KLGwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageKLG ban
75%50%
B8 Academy · 4 mapsedge B8 Academy +25%KLG · 0 maps
AncientKLG pick
50%60%
B8 Academy · 2 mapsedge KLG +10%KLG · 1 map
InfernoB8 Academy pick
57%50%
B8 Academy · 3 mapsedge B8 Academy +7%KLG · 0 maps
AnubisB8 Academy ban
50%40%
B8 Academy · 0 mapsedge B8 Academy +10%KLG · 1 map
CacheKLG ban
40%50%
B8 Academy · 1 mapedge KLG +10%KLG · 0 maps
Dust2B8 Academy ban
50%60%
B8 Academy · 0 mapsedge KLG +10%KLG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 Academy remove Dust2
2. BanKLG remove Mirage
3. PickB8 Academy take Inferno
4. PickKLG take Ancient
5. BanKLG remove Cache
6. BanB8 Academy remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
B8 Academy 77%KLG 23%
The model gave 77% on B8 Academy — the map was taken by B8 Academy.
Dust2prediction correct16:19
B8 Academy 37%KLG 63%
The model gave 63% on KLG — the map was taken by KLG.
Ancientprediction correct9:13
B8 Academy 40%KLG 60%
The model gave 60% on KLG — the map was taken by KLG.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Academy · 55%
Series resultKLG 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3