XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 6:13
Alliance#22 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientAlliance ban
53%58%
B8 · 11 mapsedge Alliance +5%Alliance · 8 maps
InfernoB8 ban
57%80%
B8 · 3 mapsedge Alliance +23%Alliance · 11 maps
NukeB8 ban
50%57%
B8 · 4 mapsedge Alliance +7%Alliance · 10 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%50%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +6%Alliance · 6 maps
MirageAlliance ban
40%50%
B8 · 11 mapsedge Alliance +10%Alliance · 0 maps
OverpassAlliance ban
56%29%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +27%Alliance · 3 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%36%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +14%Alliance · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanAlliance remove Mirage
3. BanB8 remove Inferno
4. BanAlliance remove Overpass
5. BanB8 remove Nuke
6. BanAlliance remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (56% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
B8 45%Alliance 55%
The model gave 55% on Alliance — the map was taken by Alliance.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 67%
Series resultAlliance 6:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1