XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BIG#27 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientB8 pick
53%60%
B8 · 13 mapsedge BIG +7%BIG · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
40%42%
B8 · 11 mapsnearly even -2%BIG · 8 maps
OverpassB8 ban
56%38%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +18%BIG · 4 maps
Dust2BIG ban
60%50%
B8 · 6 mapsedge B8 +10%BIG · 2 maps
InfernoBIG pick
57%50%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +7%BIG · 4 maps
NukeBIG ban
50%43%
B8 · 4 mapsedge B8 +7%BIG · 3 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%50%
B8 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%BIG · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanBIG remove Nuke
3. PickB8 take Ancient
4. PickBIG take Inferno
5. BanBIG remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (40% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:16
B8 54%BIG 46%
The model gave 54% on B8 — the map was taken by BIG.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
B8 46%BIG 54%
The model gave 54% on BIG — the map was taken by BIG.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 71%
Series resultBIG 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2