IEM Atlanta 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:0series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FUT#8 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFUT ban
67%33%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +34%FUT · 2 maps
NukeFUT ban
40%29%
B8 · 1 mapedge B8 +11%FUT · 3 maps
Dust2FUT pick
40%50%
B8 · 1 mapedge FUT +10%FUT · 2 maps
OverpassB8 pick
60%67%
B8 · 1 mapedge FUT +7%FUT · 2 maps
AncientB8 ban
50%60%
B8 · 0 mapsedge FUT +10%FUT · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Ancient
2. BanFUT remove Mirage
3. PickB8 take Overpass
4. PickFUT take Dust2
5. BanFUT remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
B8 43%FUT 57%
The model gave 57% on FUT — the map was taken by B8.
Overpassprediction missed13:11
B8 40%FUT 60%
The model gave 60% on FUT — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 61%
Series resultB8 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2