IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
GamerLegion#22 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageGamerLegion ban
60%42%
B8 · 6 mapsedge B8 +18%GamerLegion · 8 maps
AncientB8 pick
60%55%
B8 · 6 mapsedge B8 +5%GamerLegion · 7 maps
InfernoGamerLegion pick
60%67%
B8 · 1 mapedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 8 maps
NukeB8 ban
33%60%
B8 · 2 mapsedge GamerLegion +27%GamerLegion · 6 maps
OverpassB8 ban
57%50%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +7%GamerLegion · 4 maps
Dust2GamerLegion ban
43%50%
B8 · 3 mapsedge GamerLegion +7%GamerLegion · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Nuke
2. BanGamerLegion remove Dust2
3. PickB8 take Ancient
4. PickGamerLegion take Inferno
5. BanGamerLegion remove Mirage
6. BanB8 remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
B8 40%GamerLegion 60%
The model gave 60% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by B8.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
B8 70%GamerLegion 30%
The model gave 70% on B8 — the map was taken by GamerLegion.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
B8 25%GamerLegion 75%
The model gave 75% on GamerLegion — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteGamerLegion · 60%
Series resultB8 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3