XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 16:13series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 16:13
MIBR#12 in the world · loss 13:16The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
40%56%
B8 · 11 mapsedge MIBR +16%MIBR · 5 maps
AncientMIBR ban
54%43%
B8 · 9 mapsedge B8 +11%MIBR · 3 maps
InfernoB8 ban
57%38%
B8 · 3 mapsedge B8 +19%MIBR · 4 maps
NukeB8 ban
50%57%
B8 · 4 mapsedge MIBR +7%MIBR · 3 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
56%40%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +16%MIBR · 1 map
Dust2MIBR ban
56%50%
B8 · 5 mapsedge B8 +6%MIBR · 0 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%67%
B8 · 0 mapsedge MIBR +17%MIBR · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. BanB8 remove Nuke
4. BanMIBR remove Overpass
5. BanB8 remove Inferno
6. BanMIBR remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (40% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct16:13
B8 61%MIBR 39%
The model gave 61% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 67%
Series resultB8 16:13
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1