PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:1series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nuclear TigeRES#45 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
57%70%
B8 · 10 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +13%Nuclear TigeRES · 19 maps
Dust2Nuclear TigeRES ban
62%40%
B8 · 9 mapsedge B8 +22%Nuclear TigeRES · 16 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%55%
B8 · 0 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +5%Nuclear TigeRES · 16 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
36%20%
B8 · 10 mapsedge B8 +16%Nuclear TigeRES · 6 maps
InfernoNuclear TigeRES pick
63%80%
B8 · 4 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +17%Nuclear TigeRES · 11 maps
NukeB8 pick
67%47%
B8 · 2 mapsedge B8 +20%Nuclear TigeRES · 11 maps
CacheB8 ban
67%63%
B8 · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Nuclear TigeRES · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickB8 take Nuke
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Inferno
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Dust2
6. BanB8 remove Cache
DeciderAncient (57% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct14:16
B8 27%Nuclear TigeRES 73%
The model gave 73% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Dust2prediction correct13:3
B8 73%Nuclear TigeRES 27%
The model gave 73% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
B8 37%Nuclear TigeRES 63%
The model gave 63% on Nuclear TigeRES — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 · 80%
Series resultB8 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3