Esports World Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8#15 in the world · win 2:1series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Vitality#2 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientVitality ban
53%50%
B8 · 15 mapsnearly even +3%Vitality · 0 maps
MirageVitality ban
31%50%
B8 · 9 mapsedge Vitality +19%Vitality · 2 maps
Dust2B8 pick
70%38%
B8 · 6 mapsedge B8 +32%Vitality · 4 maps
InfernoB8 ban
50%63%
B8 · 4 mapsedge Vitality +13%Vitality · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
57%63%
B8 · 3 mapsedge Vitality +6%Vitality · 4 maps
OverpassVitality pick
43%67%
B8 · 3 mapsedge Vitality +24%Vitality · 2 maps
AnubisB8 ban
50%25%
B8 · 0 mapsedge B8 +25%Vitality · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanB8 remove Anubis
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickB8 take Dust2
4. PickVitality take Overpass
5. BanVitality remove Mirage
6. BanB8 remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (57% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct12:16
B8 33%Vitality 67%
The model gave 67% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
B8 35%Vitality 65%
The model gave 65% on Vitality — the map was taken by B8.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
B8 80%Vitality 20%
The model gave 80% on B8 — the map was taken by B8.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 84%
Series resultB8 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3