PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
15%85%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Fluxo#58 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
63%61%
Back to Back · 4 mapsnearly even +2%Fluxo · 24 maps
Dust2Back to Back pick
63%53%
Back to Back · 4 mapsedge Back to Back +10%Fluxo · 13 maps
MirageBack to Back ban
43%69%
Back to Back · 3 mapsedge Fluxo +26%Fluxo · 12 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%54%
Back to Back · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Fluxo · 9 maps
CacheBack to Back ban
50%50%
Back to Back · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 8 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
50%40%
Back to Back · 0 mapsedge Back to Back +10%Fluxo · 6 maps
AncientFluxo ban
40%50%
Back to Back · 1 mapedge Fluxo +10%Fluxo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBack to Back remove Cache
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickBack to Back take Dust2
4. PickFluxo take Nuke
5. BanFluxo remove Anubis
6. BanBack to Back remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 54%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
Back to Back 63%Fluxo 37%
The model gave 63% on Back to Back — the map was taken by Back to Back.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
Back to Back 23%Fluxo 77%
The model gave 77% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
Back to Back 52%Fluxo 48%
The model gave 52% on Back to Back — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 85%
Series resultFluxo 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3