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GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#112 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:0
eternal premium#208 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientBAKS ban
50%60%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge eternal premium +10%eternal premium · 1 map
Dust2eternal premium ban
60%50%
BAKS · 1 mapedge BAKS +10%eternal premium · 0 maps
Infernoeternal premium ban
60%50%
BAKS · 1 mapedge BAKS +10%eternal premium · 0 maps
MirageBAKS pick
50%40%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge BAKS +10%eternal premium · 1 map
Nukeeternal premium pick
50%60%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge eternal premium +10%eternal premium · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Ancient
2. Baneternal premium remove Dust2
3. PickBAKS take Mirage
4. Picketernal premium take Nuke
5. Baneternal premium remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
BAKS 63%eternal premium 37%
The model gave 63% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
BAKS 37%eternal premium 63%
The model gave 63% on eternal premium — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteeternal premium · 59%
Series resultBAKS 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2