CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#112 in the world · win 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
54%59%
BAKS · 9 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +5%ex-RUSTEC · 33 maps
Nukepossible decider
45%44%
BAKS · 7 mapsnearly even +1%ex-RUSTEC · 23 maps
CacheBAKS pick
71%50%
BAKS · 13 mapsedge BAKS +21%ex-RUSTEC · 12 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
50%64%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +14%ex-RUSTEC · 21 map
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
40%47%
BAKS · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +7%ex-RUSTEC · 13 maps
MirageBAKS ban
44%50%
BAKS · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%ex-RUSTEC · 14 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
73%50%
BAKS · 7 mapsedge BAKS +23%ex-RUSTEC · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Anubis
2. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
3. PickBAKS take Cache
4. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
5. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
6. BanBAKS remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (45% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
BAKS 41%ex-RUSTEC 59%
The model gave 59% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
BAKS 73%ex-RUSTEC 27%
The model gave 73% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Nukeprediction correct13:8
BAKS 51%ex-RUSTEC 49%
The model gave 51% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 55%
Series resultBAKS 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3