CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
BAKS#112 in the world · win 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheBAKS pick
65%53%
BAKS · 22 mapsedge BAKS +12%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%52%
BAKS · 12 mapsedge Spirit Academy +14%Spirit Academy · 17 maps
Dust2BAKS ban
39%56%
BAKS · 14 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Spirit Academy · 14 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
70%70%
BAKS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit Academy · 16 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
64%47%
BAKS · 7 mapsedge BAKS +17%Spirit Academy · 13 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
33%50%
BAKS · 8 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Spirit Academy · 0 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
50%67%
BAKS · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%Spirit Academy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBAKS remove Anubis
2. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
3. PickBAKS take Cache
4. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
5. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
6. BanBAKS remove Dust2
DeciderNuke (38% / 52%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
BAKS 65%Spirit Academy 35%
The model gave 65% on BAKS — the map was taken by BAKS.
Nukeprediction missed13:6
BAKS 33%Spirit Academy 67%
The model gave 67% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by BAKS.
Model check result
Model favoriteBAKS · 59%
Series resultBAKS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2