CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Eex-6666#72 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Mirageex-6666 ban
44%40%
Banda Chuya · 12 mapsnearly even +4%ex-6666 · 1 map
AncientBanda Chuya pick
54%71%
Banda Chuya · 9 mapsedge ex-6666 +17%ex-6666 · 3 maps
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
64%63%
Banda Chuya · 7 mapsnearly even +1%ex-6666 · 4 maps
Nukeex-6666 pick
36%67%
Banda Chuya · 7 mapsedge ex-6666 +31%ex-6666 · 2 maps
Cacheex-6666 ban
36%50%
Banda Chuya · 7 mapsedge ex-6666 +14%ex-6666 · 0 maps
AnubisBanda Chuya ban
33%57%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge ex-6666 +24%ex-6666 · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%50%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsnearly even +0%ex-6666 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBanda Chuya remove Anubis
2. Banex-6666 remove Cache
3. PickBanda Chuya take Ancient
4. Pickex-6666 take Nuke
5. Banex-6666 remove Mirage
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Banda Chuya 25%ex-6666 75%
The model gave 75% on ex-6666 — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Nukeprediction missed13:11
Banda Chuya 24%ex-6666 76%
The model gave 76% on ex-6666 — the map was taken by Banda Chuya.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-6666 · 68%
Series resultBanda Chuya 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2