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CIS Esports League CyberClash Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Banda Chuya#192 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INOX Division#66 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoBanda Chuya ban
50%62%
Banda Chuya · 0 mapsedge INOX Division +12%INOX Division · 30 maps
NukeBanda Chuya pick
43%62%
Banda Chuya · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +19%INOX Division · 25 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%57%
Banda Chuya · 3 mapsedge INOX Division +14%INOX Division · 24 maps
Dust2Banda Chuya ban
57%46%
Banda Chuya · 3 mapsedge Banda Chuya +11%INOX Division · 20 maps
CacheINOX Division ban
33%45%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +12%INOX Division · 16 maps
AnubisINOX Division pick
33%67%
Banda Chuya · 2 mapsedge INOX Division +34%INOX Division · 8 maps
MirageINOX Division ban
30%50%
Banda Chuya · 6 mapsedge INOX Division +20%INOX Division · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBanda Chuya remove Inferno
2. BanINOX Division remove Mirage
3. PickBanda Chuya take Nuke
4. PickINOX Division take Anubis
5. BanINOX Division remove Cache
6. BanBanda Chuya remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (43% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct14:16
Banda Chuya 29%INOX Division 71%
The model gave 71% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
Banda Chuya 22%INOX Division 78%
The model gave 78% on INOX Division — the map was taken by INOX Division.
Model check result
Model favoriteINOX Division · 70%
Series resultINOX Division 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2