Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BASEMENT BOYS#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BASEMENT BOYS pick
64%27%
BASEMENT BOYS · 10 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +37%Lazer Cats · 7 maps
AncientLazer Cats pick
64%62%
BASEMENT BOYS · 7 mapsnearly even +2%Lazer Cats · 9 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
60%60%
BASEMENT BOYS · 11 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 1 map
InfernoBASEMENT BOYS ban
40%56%
BASEMENT BOYS · 6 mapsedge Lazer Cats +16%Lazer Cats · 5 maps
MirageLazer Cats ban
56%38%
BASEMENT BOYS · 5 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +18%Lazer Cats · 4 maps
Anubispossible decider
56%43%
BASEMENT BOYS · 5 mapsedge BASEMENT BOYS +13%Lazer Cats · 3 maps
DefaultBASEMENT BOYS ban
50%60%
BASEMENT BOYS · 0 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%Lazer Cats · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Default
2. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
3. PickBASEMENT BOYS take Dust2
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Mirage
6. BanBASEMENT BOYS remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (56% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
BASEMENT BOYS 40%Lazer Cats 60%
The model gave 60% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Ancientprediction missed13:10
BASEMENT BOYS 49%Lazer Cats 51%
The model gave 51% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by BASEMENT BOYS.
Mirageprediction missed17:19
BASEMENT BOYS 68%Lazer Cats 32%
The model gave 68% on BASEMENT BOYS — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBASEMENT BOYS · 66%
Series resultLazer Cats 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3