ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
BBL#49 in the world · loss 10:13series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 10:13
Sangal#48 in the world · win 13:10The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
53%73%
BBL · 13 mapsedge Sangal +20%Sangal · 7 maps
CacheBBL ban
33%67%
BBL · 5 mapsedge Sangal +34%Sangal · 8 maps
MirageSangal ban
45%44%
BBL · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Sangal · 5 maps
AncientSangal ban
50%56%
BBL · 4 mapsedge Sangal +6%Sangal · 5 maps
Dust2BBL ban
50%40%
BBL · 0 mapsedge BBL +10%Sangal · 6 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%50%
BBL · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Sangal · 0 maps
AnubisBBL ban
40%63%
BBL · 1 mapedge Sangal +23%Sangal · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanBBL remove Dust2
2. BanSangal remove Inferno
3. BanBBL remove Anubis
4. BanSangal remove Ancient
5. BanBBL remove Cache
6. BanSangal remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (53% / 73%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
BBL 51%Sangal 49%
The model gave 51% on BBL — the map was taken by Sangal.
Model check result
Model favoriteBBL · 51%
Series resultSangal 10:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1